Vivid-Reference
0x502c233d0b7b4bb7f2cf27cbe28c9bca2fcf3504
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
90
Open notional
$182.37
Total PnL
$92.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$166.67
$165.67
- YES
Will Matt Gress be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.13
$0.18
- YES
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
236 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.18
$-0.72
- YES
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.92
$-0.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.00Apr 10, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$0.00Apr 9, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trey Mullinax finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Mar 28, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charley Hoffman finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Mar 28, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 27?$0.00Mar 28, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill North Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?$0.00Mar 28, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 27?$0.00Mar 28, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Patrick Rodgers win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Mar 28, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 60-79 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$0.00Mar 28, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 27?$0.00Mar 28, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brian Campbell finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Mar 28, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brian Campbell finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Mar 28, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 23 above $330?$0.00Mar 28, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mason Howell finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$0.00Mar 28, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMJalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5$0.00Mar 27, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Kyrou win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$0.05Mar 27, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Tuch win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$0.04Mar 27, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dylan Strome win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$0.29Mar 27, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neal Pionk win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$0.12Mar 27, 02:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $0.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".