Complete-Thongs
0x50364f9378c3a946ffec255cee1a32969d2d3aad
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$21.9K
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
6550 shares @ 95.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.1K
$-176.00
- NO
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
5485 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.3K
$-11.34
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
26770 shares @ 20.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.4K
$-1.0K
- YES
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
3592 shares @ 60.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.8K
$646.50
- YES
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
7188 shares @ 33.3¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.3K
$-1.1K
- NO
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
700 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$638.40
$-12.40
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
1000 shares @ 66.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$615.00
$-45.00
- YES
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
2273 shares @ 57.9¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$591.02
$-724.69
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 73.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$190.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.49May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.51May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.51May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.52May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.53May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.53May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.52May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.48May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.48May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.46May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.44May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.46May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.48May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.48May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.30May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.34May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.34May 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.49May 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$514.01Apr 30, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?$1.0KApr 30, 07:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $211.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".