Tangible-Entry
0x504f444de5192576d10c1402a24eb4957b0e536a
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$55.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
513 shares @ 90.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$448.67
$-16.33
- NO
State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?
393 shares @ 85.5¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$381.22
$45.58
- NO
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
211 shares @ 85.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.90
$9.69
- NO
Obama federally charged before 2027?
100 shares @ 88.4¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.35
$3.95
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$90.50
$0.50
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
60 shares @ 94.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.19
$2.31
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
50 shares @ 66.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.50
$5.50
- NO
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 83.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.57
$4.68
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS civil war before 2027?$66.08May 8, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFed abolished before 2027?$4.27Apr 26, 22:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 26, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$55.66Apr 25, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$159.69Apr 25, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$109.03Apr 25, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$40.00Apr 25, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$27.72Apr 25, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$31.42Apr 25, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$133.54Apr 25, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$279.17Apr 25, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$93.62Apr 25, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.00Apr 25, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$524.22Apr 25, 11:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 25, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$0.00Apr 24, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$0.00Apr 24, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$0.00Apr 24, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8PM ET$0.00Apr 24, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Apr 24, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $121.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 12:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".