0x504fe072cbb282c988bf86e3812d6b4fbd33ac46
0x504fe072cbb282c988bf86e3812d6b4fbd33ac46
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$312.69
Total PnL
$9.55
Realised
$-2.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
179 shares @ 72.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$144.05
$15.21
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
153 shares @ 44.2¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.29
$-7.17
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
32 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.02
$0.62
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
24 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.36
$0.72
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
24 shares @ 92.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.79
$0.16
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
20 shares @ 93.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.15
$-0.19
- NO
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.04
$3.09
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$128.84May 16, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$43.88May 16, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLCuban regime falls in 2026?$85.83May 16, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$13.45May 16, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$4.01May 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?$3.83May 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$2.70May 16, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?$2.87May 16, 07:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $27.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".