Trivial-Ammunition
0x506a8933b3800b0987bdd1c4d68b2a41e0211b43
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$14.66
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
1372 shares @ 56.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$939.82
$171.50
- NO
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
807 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$669.81
$64.56
- UNDER
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5
721 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$565.99
$54.08
- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
342 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$342.00
$119.70
- NO
Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
382 shares @ 85.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$238.75
$-85.95
- NO
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
38 shares @ 65.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.92
$12.22
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
13 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.15
$0.84
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.00
$2.40
- YES
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
27 shares @ 5.9¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.37
$-0.22
- YES
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.13
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?$605.25Apr 23, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$48.00Apr 14, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?$666.00Apr 14, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$172.57Apr 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$107.06Apr 13, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$44.16Apr 13, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$553.88Apr 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "JD" or "Vance" on Truth Social this week?$437.92Apr 11, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$5.18Apr 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins$266.78Apr 11, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$568.54Apr 11, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$515.08Apr 11, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$7.11Apr 11, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$37.92Apr 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?$274.68Apr 11, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?$529.74Apr 10, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$155.47Apr 10, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$96.45Apr 10, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$398.16Apr 9, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$11.34Apr 9, 22:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $202.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 14:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 13:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".