0x506f3851ab75685ea3622bf4dd9d28cacadfe8bb
0x506f3851ab75685ea3622bf4dd9d28cacadfe8bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$21.0K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$644.85
Win rate
77%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3300 shares @ 73.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$-175.48
- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2291 shares @ 72.6¢·now 68.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.6K
$-97.02
- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
1880 shares @ 79.8¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$-194.16
- NO
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
2104 shares @ 50.5¢·now 43.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$923.49
$-140.09
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
1700 shares @ 53.4¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$841.48
$-67.04
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
1600 shares @ 63.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$807.99
$-207.99
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
800 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$548.40
$4.40
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
740 shares @ 60.8¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$514.26
$64.38
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 71.5¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$491.99
$-80.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
500 shares @ 80.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$402.50
$0.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$68.62May 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$8.32May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$44.24May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$13.14May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$21.90May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$87.00May 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$13.02May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$13.48May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$60.30May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$127.32May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$142.00May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$359.09May 18, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$138.00May 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$1.93May 18, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$14.58May 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$132.00May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$186.02May 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$3.40May 18, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.39May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.41May 18, 06:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $45.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".