Realistic-Poison
0x508212fa8e10afce25025422161c15c68b8b049d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-761.15
Realised
$-102.33
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
700 shares @ 60.4¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$437.49
$14.90
- YES
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
50000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$425.00
$33.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
548 shares @ 59.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$353.72
$30.16
- NO
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
283 shares @ 48.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 17, 2026$277.89
$141.04
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
438 shares @ 45.6¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$243.15
$43.27
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
300 shares @ 5.5¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.75
$2.25
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.47
$-0.13
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.78
$-0.05
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?
1029 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-499.35
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?
570 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-242.26
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.9KMay 16, 14:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$169.08May 15, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$3.60May 15, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$2.95May 15, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$2.45May 15, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$1.87May 15, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$2.95May 15, 02:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$186.00May 14, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$142.97May 14, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$66.08May 14, 10:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 14, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$2.24May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$12.22May 13, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$118.04May 13, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$6.60May 13, 16:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 13, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $183.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".