Sore-Memorial
0x5092861b89e3b6f53194e96bd863a9bda4a986c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$243.29
Total PnL
$-257.79
Realised
$-8.80
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
182 shares @ 77.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$131.65
$-9.80
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
268 shares @ 40.6¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.82
$-61.76
- YES
Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
182 shares @ 27.1¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$38.28
$-11.13
- YES
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
188 shares @ 18.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.04
$-18.80
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
129 shares @ 7.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.01
$1.01
- YES
Will Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
43 shares @ 6.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.50
$-2.22
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
567 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will Google have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?
400 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
177 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-34.83
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
100 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$20.20May 14, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$19.30May 14, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$137.04May 12, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.21May 12, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$15.77May 12, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$83.00May 12, 01:49 UTC
- REWARD$1.67May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$1.83May 11, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$1.04May 11, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$4.27May 11, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$10.42May 11, 13:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.56May 11, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$3.97May 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$7.02May 10, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$17.47May 10, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$17.47May 10, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$23.04May 10, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$53.10May 10, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$18.78May 10, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$41.86May 10, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $27.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 07:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".