Warlike-Goodwill
0x5098828ae0f4469314fee2e0aed9261b31d56c78
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$24.76
Total PnL
$-18.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will John Mills be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$24.76
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 28?
10 shares @ 90.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.08
- YES
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill John Mills be the Republican nominee for AL-01?$24.74May 18, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$16.00May 15, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$15.85May 15, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?$16.98May 12, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?$16.51May 11, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$24.00May 8, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's video get less than 70 million views on day 4?$24.95May 6, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get less than 70 million views on day 4?$24.71May 5, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?$22.81May 5, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?$22.56May 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 20-39 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$9.71Apr 30, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?$10.16Apr 24, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 24?$19.81Apr 24, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 24?$19.40Apr 23, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?$10.04Apr 23, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrey Gyurov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$23.76Apr 18, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$6.17Apr 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 12, 2026?$4.99Apr 14, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?$22.91Apr 13, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?$22.31Apr 13, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $15.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".