Secondary-Card
0x50a3b6cb6fe6b987cdd541c8270fe855ed140a78
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$468.37
Total PnL
$-134.85
Realised
$8.02
Win rate
53%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
97 shares @ 53.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$43.35
$-8.78
- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 55.6¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$39.35
$11.47
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 77.5¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$30.50
$-8.26
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
66 shares @ 74.8¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$29.36
$-19.99
- NO
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?
26 shares @ 96.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.41
$-0.24
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
196 shares @ 30.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$23.50
$-35.25
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
76 shares @ 66.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$23.20
$-27.72
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 14.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$21.58
$18.01
- YES
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
135 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.95
$-2.03
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
97 shares @ 52.5¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$19.88
$-31.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$2.00May 14, 16:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.00May 10, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$0.00May 10, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Welsh Green Party win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$0.00May 10, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Welsh Labour win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$0.00May 10, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Welsh Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$0.00May 10, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Welsh Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$0.00May 10, 21:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamran Malik win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?$0.00May 9, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eva Steinhardt win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?$0.00May 9, 10:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$10.52May 8, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $30.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 19:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".