Sad-Fellow
0x50b977391c4b3dd88b0a0bef03c3434fe4284298
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.99
Total PnL
$-80.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Movement for the Liberation of the Central African People win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
20 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.58
$0.38
- YES
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
25 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.40
$0.15
- YES
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
25 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.01
$-0.24
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Jazz
79 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-36.10
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
39 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
34 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.34
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
32 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.32
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
32 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
30 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
30 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHYPE Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET$0.05May 18, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 18?$0.05May 18, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$0.00May 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Kingston be the Republican nominee for GA-01?$0.05May 18, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Patrick Farrell be the Republican nominee for GA-01?$0.05May 18, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 18 above $460?$0.01May 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $410 on May 18?$0.03May 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?$0.05May 18, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$0.05May 18, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 23?$0.05May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mayumi Tanaka as Monkey D. Luffy (ONE PIECE) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$0.05May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$0.05May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of May 18 2026?$0.05May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$0.05May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 85 and 90?$0.01May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 23?$0.01May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 85 and 90?$0.04May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$0.05May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$0.05May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET$0.05May 18, 08:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".