Sweltering-Conifer
0x50b9e4ca59b767769cc2de13ad9fc688de1d4467
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$107.53
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
3592 shares @ 36.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$89.80
- YES
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
935 shares @ 32.9¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$416.20
$108.79
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
1250 shares @ 23.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$337.50
$50.00
- NO
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
1264 shares @ 33.9¢·now 12.2¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$153.55
$-275.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
2500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$137.50
$37.50
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
7081 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
2740 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-205.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
1789 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
1500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
1367 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.46May 18, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$13.92May 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$83.00May 17, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$57.92May 17, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$12.61May 17, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$10.85May 17, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$1.66May 17, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$320.00May 17, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$319.50May 17, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$890.00May 17, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$710.52May 17, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$180.00May 17, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$86.54May 16, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$135.94May 16, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$42.25May 16, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$106.50May 16, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$137.41May 16, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$6.42May 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$76.83May 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$29.79May 16, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $121.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".