Raw-Cross
0x510904c9a58f5c5ad799a1b44947077564175e9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
154
Open notional
$82.6K
Total PnL
$60.0K
Realised
$76.6K
Win rate
76%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 154- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
28000 shares @ 37.2¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$13.9K
$3.4K
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
8952 shares @ 89.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.0K
$951.96
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
82505 shares @ 28.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.2K
$-17.4K
- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
4586 shares @ 10.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.6K
$4.1K
- NO
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
4581 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.6K
$84.35
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
11792 shares @ 33.6¢·now 28.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.4K
$-555.99
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
4643 shares @ 57.7¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.9K
$267.01
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
4296 shares @ 46.7¢·now 64.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$767.44
- NO
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
2489 shares @ 71.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.5K
$717.31
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
2881 shares @ 76.3¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.2K
$4.41
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.58May 18, 00:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$95.97May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.58May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$14.60May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$448.83May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$81.68May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$539.34May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$237.59May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$184.08May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$125.93May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$9.20May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$72.44May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$46.02May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$55.22May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$69.82May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.8KMay 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$14.97May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.58May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$259.16May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$199.36May 16, 22:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $130.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".