0x51150cf58b047f03f38b456d3a713f12a2fbf1d2
0x51150cf58b047f03f38b456d3a713f12a2fbf1d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$68.12
Total PnL
$-16.00
Realised
$0.44
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$24.38
$4.38
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.85
$-0.15
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
23 shares @ 58.8¢·now 53.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.15
$-1.32
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
8 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.89
$0.04
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.86
$0.60
- YES
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.51May 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.05May 16, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.31May 16, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.98May 16, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$3.96May 16, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.39May 16, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$13.60May 15, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$19.80May 14, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?$3.27May 12, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?$1.51May 12, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?$8.03May 12, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$4.07May 11, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.01May 11, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.09May 11, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.43May 10, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.05May 10, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$0.17May 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$13.00May 7, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$20.20May 4, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?$20.24May 4, 10:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 12:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 07:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".