Complex-Propane
0x515e2144bf38402568979db4ea7f6b64636c8309
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$25.8K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$478.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
10000 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.4K
$150.00
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
15000 shares @ 66.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.4K
$-3.5K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
5303 shares @ 91.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$-132.58
- NO
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?
4313 shares @ 85.8¢·now 88.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.8K
$134.62
- NO
Nick Fuentes arrested by June 30?
752 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$734.43
$0.55
- NO
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?
656 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$614.88
$5.11
- NO
Nick Fuentes federally charged?
110 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$103.12
$0.55
- NO
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.13
$0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$303.33May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$3.03May 18, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$4.04May 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.2KMay 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$6.92May 18, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.1KMay 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.2KMay 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$19.81May 18, 00:57 UTC
- REWARD$9.36May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNick Fuentes federally charged?$13.29May 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?$611.49May 17, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNick Fuentes federally charged?$89.53May 17, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNick Fuentes arrested by June 30?$734.58May 17, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?$2.7KMay 16, 07:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$33.64May 16, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$6.47May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$3.3KMay 15, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$440.71May 15, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$290.98May 15, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.48May 15, 13:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 05:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".