Glamorous-Yolk
0x517cce128d6559244d8ea4a6423c0fa7267ce3fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$157.22
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$15.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
654 shares @ 18.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$107.98
$-12.02
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
720 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.89
$1.89
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
54 shares @ 18.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$10.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
182 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.36
$-0.64
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.68
$-1.32
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
308 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
184 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.83
$-9.17
- YES
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
2032 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$26.56May 17, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.4KMay 17, 04:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$10.46May 16, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$20.99May 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$5.10May 16, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$10.50May 16, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Serbia win Eurovision 2026?$4.75May 16, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win Eurovision 2026?$10.50May 16, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$31.06May 16, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$51.39May 16, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$104.65May 16, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$10.35May 16, 19:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$4.16May 13, 04:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $24.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".