Fake-Orchestra
0x51942cbcfb49e33281de0ce584fcff8da7f71dca
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$48.25
Total PnL
$-591.78
Realised
$-389.36
Win rate
17%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
27 shares @ 73.6¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$18.47
$-1.53
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.65
$-9.35
- YES
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
13492 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$6.75
$-6.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 23?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$4.63
$2.04
- YES
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
116 shares @ 8.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$2.26
$-7.59
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 63.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.60
$0.59
- NO
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.16
$0.13
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 62.6¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.02
$0.02
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.25
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
2 shares @ 73.4¢·now 18.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.30
$-0.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$0.04Apr 24, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$0.06Apr 24, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$0.04Apr 24, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$0.09Apr 22, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.01Apr 21, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.01Apr 21, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.01Apr 21, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.01Apr 21, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.01Apr 21, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.01Apr 21, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.01Apr 21, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.02Apr 20, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.02Apr 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.02Apr 20, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.02Apr 20, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.02Apr 20, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.02Apr 20, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.02Apr 20, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.02Apr 20, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.02Apr 20, 20:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 04:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".