Reflecting-Excuse
0x5199c727eee5e7753c92adbdc3e62593badcc819
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$132.62
Total PnL
$0.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?
30 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.86
$0.01
- NO
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
29 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.90
$-0.01
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
29 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.87
$-0.07
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?
23 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$23.00
$0.18
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
22 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$21.99
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$21.96May 17, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?$29.85May 17, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Miami Marlins win the 2026 National League Championship Series?$20.89May 16, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$22.95May 16, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$27.94May 16, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$29.91May 16, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$22.95May 15, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$28.91May 15, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$27.94May 14, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$29.91May 14, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$29.91May 14, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$25.95May 14, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$29.91May 14, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$4.86May 14, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$4.14May 14, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$9.00May 14, 05:51 UTC
- REWARD$1.25May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$25.95May 13, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$14.40May 11, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$15.10May 11, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $28.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 05:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".