Ill-Fated-Framework
0x519a12d27d686f5408d6567667c8ab8d2f57a342
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$183.36
Total PnL
$-25.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
182 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$182.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.27
$0.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
4160 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
2300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?
2200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 14?
338 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$182.01May 17, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$182.18May 17, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$182.01May 9, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 5?$1.17May 9, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?$1.21May 9, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$179.18May 9, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$179.01May 5, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?$1.20May 5, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 5?$1.17May 5, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.27May 5, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.27May 5, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.28May 5, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.33May 5, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$177.18May 5, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.18May 5, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.20May 5, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$177.00Apr 28, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.20Apr 28, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.33Apr 28, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 28, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $66.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 06:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 02:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".