Familiar-Shoemaker
0x519ae3707bab90e4d8d2c3c08ffef48c5a5c30a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$202.58
Total PnL
$-104.43
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$46.50
$6.50
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3485 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.59
$-3.41
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.75
$-10.25
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.99
$-1.01
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.50
$4.50
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
221 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$12.71
$-7.29
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.31
$-2.69
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.58
$-3.42
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
571 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.71
$-0.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.02May 15, 23:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$5.03May 12, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.94May 12, 09:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$9.15May 9, 16:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$14.00May 9, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.02May 8, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.15May 8, 03:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$10.35May 7, 13:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $12.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".