Reckless-Vitamin
0x51ba9580d16b3264930ce28778e701f08aee3ca5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$449.77
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$-258.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
1034 shares @ 73.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$284.38
$-470.42
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
10050 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$85.42
$-944.57
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
85 shares @ 78.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$63.41
$-3.17
- YES
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$16.56
$-83.44
- UNDER
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
2200 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
1844 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?
871 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- BRENTFORD FC
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)
274 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- INVICTUS GAMING
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
256 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
235 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-75.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$67.00May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$28.44May 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$38.10May 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$78.70May 16, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$78.56May 16, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00May 16, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00May 16, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$149.68May 16, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$150.27May 16, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$98.59May 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$77.76May 16, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$20.88May 16, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$142.31May 16, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$98.94May 16, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$99.43May 16, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$263.13May 16, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$97.19May 16, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$97.39May 16, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$102.73May 16, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$102.27May 16, 15:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $210.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".