Short-Term-Fit
0x51c8be2b0e59f5f7c7f8785ea208c5c626b9fb0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$907.38
Total PnL
$800.17
Realised
$66.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2186 shares @ 1.8¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$840.60
$801.69
- YES
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1452 shares @ 4.6¢·now 4.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$66.77
$-0.21
- YES
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
3667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
2333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
2333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
1330 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$69.54May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$19.27May 18, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$3.43May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$10.48May 17, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$36.77May 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$25.29May 17, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$20.79May 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$6.35May 5, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$1.02May 5, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$38.63May 5, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$38.71May 5, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$38.12May 5, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$35.37May 5, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$36.23May 5, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$4.06May 5, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$10.32May 5, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomania No-Confidence vote passes?$15.78May 5, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$10.00Apr 13, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$5.00Apr 13, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$10.00Apr 13, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $11.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 04:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".