Cavernous-Heroine
0x51df72f71872a16a9b026693c90a6bab1e970fca
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$572.48
Total PnL
$9.17
Realised
$23.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
232 shares @ 64.5¢·now 59.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$138.25
$-11.75
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
103 shares @ 96.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$100.88
$0.88
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
106 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.85
$0.85
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
102 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.05
$0.05
- NO
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
53 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.80
$0.80
- NO
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
22 shares @ 92.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.41
$0.41
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$18.85
$-1.15
- NO
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 80.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.61
$1.77
- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.64
$1.64
- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 77.8¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.78
$-0.22
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?$8.00May 12, 01:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?$16.00May 8, 22:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$20.04May 6, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$20.22May 6, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?$10.18May 6, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 6, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$2.07May 6, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00May 6, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $25.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".