Taut-Capon
0x525538094e601910d1db84095af8d3114eec6e58
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-41.96
Realised
$1.63
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
531 shares @ 75.7¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$477.71
$75.83
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
400 shares @ 69.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$346.00
$68.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 71.8¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.49
$-24.80
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
200 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$187.00
$15.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 48.9¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$137.50
$-106.78
- YES
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
200 shares @ 52.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$89.00
$-16.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
300 shares @ 39.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$88.50
$-28.50
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
500 shares @ 9.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$42.50
$-6.17
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$36.50
$10.50
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.30
$1.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$20.00May 18, 03:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.22May 17, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.04May 17, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$18.52May 17, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.39May 17, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.91May 17, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.19May 17, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.22May 17, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$10.14May 17, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$16.10May 17, 08:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$26.25May 16, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$0.00May 16, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$0.00May 16, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$0.00May 16, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$0.00May 16, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs$9.10May 16, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.97May 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$7.78May 16, 20:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".