Guilty-Liar
0x5260767b50b487b4bde443f716df5fbf695cfd71
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-892.12
Realised
$646.51
Win rate
60%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
367 shares @ 22.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$159.65
$78.91
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
500 shares @ 53.4¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$142.45
$-124.55
- YES
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
406 shares @ 39.6¢·now 34.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$138.11
$-22.86
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
403 shares @ 30.5¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$127.15
$4.05
- NO
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
162 shares @ 52.3¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.96
$14.13
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$77.00
$39.00
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
211 shares @ 3.6¢·now 35.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$74.27
$66.68
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
191 shares @ 56.9¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$69.81
$-39.09
- YES
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1197 shares @ 2.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$47.27
$13.87
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
211 shares @ 51.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$32.78
$-75.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.01May 15, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$32.62May 15, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$22.13May 15, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$17.78May 15, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.98May 14, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$33.01May 14, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.21May 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.83May 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.84May 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.51May 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.17May 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.84May 11, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.51May 11, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.62May 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.84May 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BRICS add a new member in 2026?$1.92May 11, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.24May 9, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BRICS add a new member in 2026?$36.41May 8, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$5.47May 7, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$107.84May 6, 19:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $18.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".