Messy-Dough
0x5313d54cd6bf5649a3016dd6ccc5feceb8919309
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$48.67
Total PnL
$-755.70
Realised
$-110.03
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.00
$3.00
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 95.2¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.84
$0.32
- YES
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20?
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.60
$2.00
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
7 shares @ 60.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.75
$1.75
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.35
$-0.06
- NO
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
4590 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
1900 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$4.06May 15, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$4.65May 15, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?$5.73May 15, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$9.00May 15, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?$5.51May 8, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$4.43May 3, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$3.84May 3, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?$8.07May 3, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$3.84Apr 26, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?$8.00Apr 26, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs$0.41Apr 21, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs$3.91Apr 21, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$4.33Apr 21, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?$5.41Apr 16, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$15.06Apr 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-04-11?$5.00Apr 11, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 10?$0.00Apr 10, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 12?$0.00Apr 10, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$0.00Apr 10, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$5.60Apr 7, 19:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $6.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 17:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 09:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".