0x5319d6cefbd8bbfbdd9d7ca8151f52e15dabd626
0x5319d6cefbd8bbfbdd9d7ca8151f52e15dabd626
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$194.62
Total PnL
$4.08
Realised
$9.51
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
269 shares @ 10.2¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$37.39
$9.91
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
251 shares @ 6.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.53
$19.84
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
159 shares @ 17.6¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.69
$1.61
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
27 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.91
$1.30
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.85
$-0.35
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
129 shares @ 39.8¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.83
$-43.67
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
18 shares @ 38.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.80
$1.14
- YES
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
51 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.84
$-0.25
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.75
$0.10
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.70
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.82May 17, 17:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.95May 16, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.72May 16, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.49May 16, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.49May 16, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$15.49May 16, 16:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$5.28May 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$27.66May 15, 21:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.17May 8, 13:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $4.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".