Timely-Federation
0x533c789d479d445186ff8ec132fa7a27541c2658
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$40.9K
Total PnL
$-165.2K
Realised
$-361.03
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
43361 shares @ 88.5¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$40.8K
$2.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
163 shares @ 61.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$162.93
$62.93
- NO
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
223451 shares @ 70.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-157.0K
- YES
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
17616 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-320.89
- ARIZONA WILDCATS
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)
9246 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.6K
- YES
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
7587 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-59.53
- NUGGETS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
5296 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- UNDER
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5
3927 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Rick Devens be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
100 shares @ 78.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-78.65
- YES
Will Cirie Fields be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?
100 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-69.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$910.47May 18, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$102.70May 18, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$5.3KMay 18, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$7.2KMay 18, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$524.93May 17, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$28.0KMay 17, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$797.59May 17, 22:58 UTC
- REWARD$21.93May 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cirie Fields be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?$39.08May 3, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Devens be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?$76.76May 3, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$201.91May 3, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cirie Fields be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?$28.42May 3, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$452.25May 3, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$1.6KMay 3, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$1.6KMay 3, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$1.6KMay 3, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$1.6KMay 3, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$1.6KMay 3, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$1.6KMay 3, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$1.6KMay 3, 03:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 02:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".