Busy-Origin
0x537092e87bb7f2918383475d02e2e438188d0e83
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$124.27
Total PnL
$-175.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
4783 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$107.61
$-2.39
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
11 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.66
$0.66
- YES
Will "EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$5.15
$-44.85
- YES
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
40 shares @ 49.7¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.78
$-19.22
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.07
$-9.93
- NO
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
475 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
167 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?
130 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Brazilian president?
119 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$115.37May 18, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$28.74May 16, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?$10.63May 16, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$66.96May 16, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?$25.86May 14, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$81.52May 14, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$50.63May 12, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$20.60May 12, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$51.30May 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?$10.36May 11, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?$15.19May 11, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?$126.44May 9, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$10.46May 7, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Brazilian president?$20.67May 7, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$20.77May 7, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?$20.40May 7, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 8?$20.84May 7, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$10.00May 6, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$10.00May 6, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$25.00May 6, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $25.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".