Muddy-Substance
0x537c592ec2a5a07a1548cd4fe0f2a6ba449e1b5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$226.10
Total PnL
$-169.53
Realised
$-2.27
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.81
$0.81
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.00
$40.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
223 shares @ 8.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.84
$8.10
- YES
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
338 shares @ 8.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.98
$-6.02
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
26 shares @ 11.4¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.91
$13.91
- YES
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
149 shares @ 18.8¢·now 10.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.04
$-11.96
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.96
$5.96
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
550 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.17
$-6.02
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
190 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.79
$-0.66
- YES
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$13.00Apr 16, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$5.00Apr 16, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$15.00Apr 16, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$35.00Apr 16, 21:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $14.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".