Elliptical-Buy
0x5396b3d1cb0f0556479a2155246b902052e3a135
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.2K
Total PnL
$5.9K
Realised
$123.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
9000 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.0K
$6.1K
- YES
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
1000 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$999.99
$380.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
606 shares @ 28.2¢·now 33.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$200.13
$29.44
- YES
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.50
$2.50
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
3600 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-73.06
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?
984 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-131.20
- YES
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?
500 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-325.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?
160 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-121.60
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?
140 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-101.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$25.64Feb 19, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$47.43Feb 19, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$338.99Feb 19, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$420.00Feb 18, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$164.53Feb 18, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$44.12Feb 18, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?$0.00Feb 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?$183.90Feb 18, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?$53.80Feb 18, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.6KFeb 15, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.3KFeb 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.8KFeb 12, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$117.72Feb 2, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$375.00Feb 2, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$7.50Feb 2, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$7.50Feb 2, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$375.00Feb 2, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$45.00Feb 2, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$47.28Feb 2, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.55Feb 2, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $450.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".