Flawed-Hypochondria
0x53b709a7ca2a64efece50ee947928bc5ed744146
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-504.69
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
498 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$489.29
$51.05
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
484 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$483.76
$0.24
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
371 shares @ 69.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$371.00
$111.67
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
149 shares @ 49.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$133.35
$60.34
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
770 shares @ 22.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.47
$-155.93
- YES
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
266 shares @ 27.0¢·now 4.6¢·exp May 23, 2026$12.24
$-59.58
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
61 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.42
$-3.51
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
1 shares @ 30.0¢·now 83.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.84
$0.54
- YES
Will Trump say "Secretary of War" at Fort Bragg on Friday?
1177 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-682.66
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?
681 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-401.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?$59.00Apr 17, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?$100.00Apr 17, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$1.1KApr 17, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$277.56Apr 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$356.84Apr 12, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30?$67.92Apr 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?$373.15Apr 11, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$141.30Apr 11, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$40.14Apr 11, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$1.1KApr 10, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$241.58Apr 9, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?$50.76Apr 9, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$152.76Apr 9, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 15-20%?$27.90Apr 9, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$35.40Apr 9, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$42.48Apr 9, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win at least 120 seats?$356.16Apr 9, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win at least 120 seats?$164.30Apr 9, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$71.82Apr 8, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30?$67.92Apr 8, 15:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $212.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 08:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 08:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".