Ajar-Safety
0x542120de39859e9931daaff30967fd37e7e5449c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$79.49
Realised
$125.65
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
330 shares @ 65.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$225.83
$9.56
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$147.00
$7.00
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.85
$1.87
- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 87.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$90.50
$3.09
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$77.50
$-8.50
- YES
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?
200 shares @ 55.4¢·now 37.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$74.01
$-36.74
- YES
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$61.00
$31.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
100 shares @ 60.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$55.50
$-4.50
- NO
Will Citizens’ Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?
48 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$47.55
$1.32
- YES
Will Moderates be part of the next Government of Denmark?
52 shares @ 90.7¢·now 90.8¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$47.19
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$30.48May 16, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$21.36May 16, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$71.71May 16, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$86.34May 16, 15:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$4.08May 14, 19:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$46.83May 13, 13:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?$8.50May 12, 14:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$18.00May 11, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$6.40May 11, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$18.92May 11, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$48.90May 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$69.86May 11, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$25.49May 11, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $30.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".