0x54498e4c40b17261479aeaeeddf9cc37bd46992b
0x54498e4c40b17261479aeaeeddf9cc37bd46992b
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.7K
Total PnL
$276.07
Realised
$590.82
Win rate
58%
79 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
2690 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.6K
$10.48
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
1112 shares @ 70.5¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$700.37
$-83.28
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
326 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$318.97
$0.44
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
318 shares @ 92.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$295.55
$0.99
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
415 shares @ 74.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$284.10
$-25.71
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
211 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$207.68
$2.61
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
379 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$168.61
$-1.89
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
584 shares @ 58.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$160.57
$-177.90
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
139 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$134.71
$12.22
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
105 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$103.59
$1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.11May 18, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1.50May 18, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.50May 18, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola pandemic in 2026?$0.15May 18, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$2.12May 18, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.10May 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 18, 11:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 79 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".