Knobby-Napkin
0x5456012ba428784bfdc458aa03d9d37cba27f26c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$295.96
Total PnL
$-183.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Canva IPO before 2027?
285 shares @ 70.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$272.56
$72.56
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
151 shares @ 33.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.40
$-26.60
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
233 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
140 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
133 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
41 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$20.00Feb 6, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$50.00Feb 6, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$50.00Feb 6, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanva IPO before 2027?$200.00Feb 6, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$0.00Jul 14, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$51.00Jul 12, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?$181.82Jul 12, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on July 7?$0.00Jul 7, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 7?$50.00Jul 7, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?$0.00Jul 5, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$48.66Jul 5, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$53.33Jul 5, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?$0.00Jul 5, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$115.91Jul 3, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before July? $0.00Jul 2, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$133.52Jul 2, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before July? $0.00Jul 2, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $100.00Jul 2, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$40.00Jul 1, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$40.00Jul 1, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $96.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 21:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".