Embarrassed-Prophet
0x5486b8ae72bee876d9aa20e8a9178ec975c5970c
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$85.40
Total PnL
$-0.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
18 shares @ 83.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.64
$-0.36
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
20 shares @ 69.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.80
$-0.20
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
6 shares @ 81.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.15
$1.15
- NO
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.71
$0.71
- NO
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
12 shares @ 40.4¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- NO
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
9 shares @ 75.3¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.87
$-2.19
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?$7.06Apr 25, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$6.78Apr 25, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.21Apr 25, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.76Apr 25, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.34Apr 25, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.09Apr 25, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1.08Apr 25, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Apr 16, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.00Apr 16, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Apr 16, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00Apr 16, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Apr 16, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$0.01Apr 16, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$0.00Apr 16, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.00Apr 16, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.00Apr 16, 21:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".