Sarcastic-Sycamore
0x55554d61201156bad9deabd67513b64685d5823b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$-66.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
777 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$679.88
$-11.65
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
666 shares @ 73.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$636.03
$149.85
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
666 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$566.77
$-5.99
- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
777 shares @ 50.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$555.55
$167.05
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
444 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$431.57
$-2.66
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
385 shares @ 71.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 30, 2026$384.33
$107.33
- NO
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
444 shares @ 80.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$348.54
$-6.66
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
333 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$328.50
$4.50
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
333 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$286.38
$-3.33
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
322 shares @ 92.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$285.01
$-11.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$434.71May 16, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$289.71May 16, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$324.01May 16, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$264.96May 16, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$16.20May 16, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$67.76May 16, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$171.08May 16, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$357.33May 16, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$395.16May 16, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$296.37May 16, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$296.29May 16, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?$666.00May 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?$572.04May 15, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$575.97May 15, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMCF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5$69.45May 15, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMCA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$123.75May 15, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMTorino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$123.40May 15, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)$126.09May 15, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Porto win on 2026-04-26?$132.16May 15, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)$140.12May 15, 04:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $206.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 04:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".