Trivial-Idea
0x555c311dd92f6c550220780bd327f094cdfeee28
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
98
Open notional
$7.4K
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- NO
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-16?
700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$700.00
$350.00
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
900 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$436.49
$4.50
- NO
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
400 shares @ 87.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$372.00
$22.00
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
400 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$362.20
$22.20
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
500 shares @ 53.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$342.50
$73.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
300 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$289.35
$4.35
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
350 shares @ 57.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$288.75
$89.25
- NO
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
300 shares @ 95.1¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$283.05
$-2.25
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit New York in 2026?
300 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$280.50
$1.50
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
290 shares @ 89.2¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$263.87
$5.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$189.59May 17, 22:40 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.72May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lens place 2nd for the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$5.26May 16, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain place 2nd for the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$7.14May 16, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" during Bret Baier interview?$15.38May 16, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Iran" during Bret Baier interview?$120.00May 16, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$130.00May 16, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$135.00May 16, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$150.00May 16, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$170.00May 16, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?$642.00May 16, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-05-15?$879.99May 16, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Diego FC win on 2026-05-16?$355.25May 16, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA River Plate win on 2026-05-16?$341.30May 16, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$125.80May 16, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$391.90May 16, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$241.77May 16, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$412.50May 16, 13:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $105.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 10:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".