Breakable-Linen
0x5567486d87d8fd69c875eb36208386128516aeed
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-343.39
Realised
$-62.70
Win rate
52%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
901 shares @ 91.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$842.18
$19.51
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
163 shares @ 64.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$123.29
$18.28
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
200 shares @ 74.5¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$107.00
$-42.00
- YES
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$83.00
$-71.06
- NO
NATO article 5 before 2027?
60 shares @ 81.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.30
$2.08
- NO
Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
40 shares @ 40.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$30.40
$14.40
- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
28 shares @ 76.7¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$27.84
$6.11
- NO
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
17 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.60
$0.60
- NO
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?
7 shares @ 31.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.74
$3.58
- YES
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?
109 shares @ 70.2¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.34
$-71.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$523.92Apr 7, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$28.75Apr 7, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by March 31?$552.67Apr 6, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$526.14Mar 17, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMParadex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$1.26Mar 17, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$4.17Mar 17, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$224.26Mar 17, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$296.46Mar 17, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$117.94Feb 9, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill PUSC win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$4.81Feb 9, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$113.13Feb 9, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$104.78Feb 2, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$25.25Feb 2, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.00Feb 2, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$88.52Feb 2, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?$0.04Feb 2, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMFrench election called by November 30?$0.00Feb 2, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Coogler be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Feb 2, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?$0.00Feb 2, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$0.00Feb 2, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $177.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 00:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".