Sophisticated-Custard

• YES

  Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?

  250 shares @ 81.2¢·now 57.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026

  $143.75

  $-59.37

• NO

  Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

  119 shares @ 70.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026

  $118.19

  $33.89

• NO

  Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

  170 shares @ 70.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $116.45

  $-3.03

• NO

  Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

  108 shares @ 92.9¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $99.95

  $-0.05

• YES

  Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

  126 shares @ 66.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026

  $80.05

  $-3.15

• NO

  Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

  70 shares @ 82.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $61.25

  $3.45

• NO

  Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

  50 shares @ 76.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $47.75

  $9.30

• NO

  Iran Nuke before 2027?

  50 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $45.27

  $1.27

• YES

  Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?

  89 shares @ 79.3¢·now 48.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026

  $42.72

  $-27.86

• NO

  Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

  100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $41.50

  $-46.50

• TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$100.35May 14, 07:56 UTC
• TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$14.92May 14, 07:52 UTC
• REDEEMWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$26.32May 14, 07:49 UTC
• TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$30.00May 2, 19:39 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.34May 2, 15:35 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$30.35May 2, 14:24 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$51.10May 2, 14:13 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$7.60May 2, 14:13 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$2.00May 2, 07:42 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$13.38May 2, 06:38 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$14.00May 2, 06:36 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$9.03May 2, 06:33 UTC
• REDEEMWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$20.00May 2, 06:30 UTC
• REDEEMWill there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$30.00May 2, 06:30 UTC
• REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$50.00May 2, 06:30 UTC
• REDEEMInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$58.82May 2, 06:30 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$10.55Apr 27, 20:20 UTC
• REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$0.00Apr 25, 18:35 UTC
• REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$0.00Apr 25, 18:35 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$61.16Apr 25, 18:34 UTC

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