Alive-Steeple
0x567059a47077c1925d21012189e5137239232b9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$521.66
Total PnL
$-427.55
Realised
$-15.21
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
590 shares @ 33.9¢·now 33.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$199.58
$-0.42
- NO
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?
113 shares @ 88.6¢·now 92.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$104.85
$4.85
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
183 shares @ 35.5¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$72.36
$7.36
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
247 shares @ 20.3¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.12
$14.12
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
147 shares @ 34.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.80
$-2.19
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
158 shares @ 19.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.48
$-9.52
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
277 shares @ 30.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.47
$-73.23
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
796 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-76.78
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
458 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-38.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$20.00May 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 17, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$15.00May 17, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$10.00May 17, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$105.69May 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$6.35May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$20.84May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$10.47May 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.22May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.39May 16, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.39May 16, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.38May 16, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$41.36May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$20.14May 16, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$6.31May 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$29.91May 16, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$32.17May 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 16, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $31.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 23:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".