Third-Theology
0x56ebe2a8eb1b9bccfd3059f981f9c987e45e076a
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$143.3K
Total PnL
$17.7K
Realised
$13.1K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
54607 shares @ 61.1¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.0K
$2.7K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
36605 shares @ 83.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.0K
$4.4K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
34465 shares @ 73.9¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.9K
$-1.5K
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
19948 shares @ 55.5¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$11.5K
$400.02
- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
8951 shares @ 82.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.7K
$352.40
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
7500 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.9K
$337.50
- UNDER
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5
10000 shares @ 52.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$5.0K
$-175.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
5000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.8K
$132.50
- NO
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
5810 shares @ 57.1¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$-294.95
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10000 shares @ 22.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.3K
$50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$167.01May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.50May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.50May 18, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.50May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$19.10May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.50May 18, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$70.00May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$70.00May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.1KMay 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.50May 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.50May 18, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$7.00May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.50May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.10May 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.50May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.50May 18, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$14.92May 18, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$210.00May 18, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.50May 18, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$14.00May 18, 04:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $155.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".