Harmless-Shift-Mandate
0x574079d2cf8689492b8864526d2222f56415e7fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.62
Total PnL
$-2.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- YES
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- SHAMIL GAZIEV
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.12May 12, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 28?$26.27Apr 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 28?$26.01Apr 28, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?$26.18Apr 28, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?$25.76Apr 28, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?$26.11Apr 28, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?$26.29Apr 27, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?$26.30Apr 27, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?$0.00Apr 27, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?$24.92Apr 27, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?$25.30Apr 27, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 27?$14.13Apr 27, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?$14.42Apr 27, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?$22.20Apr 27, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 25?$12.88Apr 26, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?$8.88Apr 26, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?$0.70Apr 25, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?$6.00Apr 25, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?$7.38Apr 25, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on April 25?$12.51Apr 25, 12:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $15.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 06:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".