Impossible-Id
0x576edd7351a2e6d4ca8234804a0b9674a6d8f1cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$232.50
Total PnL
$-579.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
4952 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$71.80
$-3.19
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1859 shares @ 5.4¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$67.87
$-32.13
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
3486 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$54.03
$-10.96
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
3153 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$36.26
$-28.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in May 2026?
86 shares @ 5.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.95
$-4.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in May 2026?
98 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.78
$-4.22
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.71
$-4.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.05
$-4.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.04
$-4.96
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$12.57May 15, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$10.69May 15, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.17May 15, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$10.37May 15, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$16.13May 15, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$5.24May 15, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.00May 15, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$23.80May 15, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$11.12May 15, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$5.26May 15, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$2.09May 15, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$10.41May 15, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$15.65May 15, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.00May 15, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$5.52May 15, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$18.22May 15, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$10.38May 15, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$5.15May 15, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$5.16May 15, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$5.08May 15, 04:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $13.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 19:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".