Reasonable-Hesitation
0x5787c694f04ec22470bf766099814a5f74f95a48
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
135
Open notional
$393.84
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$26.72
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 135- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
555 shares @ 9.7¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$72.19
$18.19
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2198 shares @ 1.7¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$71.44
$34.74
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
734 shares @ 15.4¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.77
$-43.23
- YES
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
337 shares @ 12.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.34
$19.08
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.33
$-1.67
- YES
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
139 shares @ 21.6¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.08
$-11.92
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
450 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
938 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.78
$-4.22
- YES
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
217 shares @ 15.2¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.74
$-23.23
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
291 shares @ 13.7¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.31
$-30.69
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $25.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 00:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".