Thorny-Cashew
0x57cd8cad26e2d72dbfb25f2642a486cc374282ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$16.3K
Total PnL
$-15.9K
Realised
$-5.6K
Win rate
30%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
3641 shares @ 64.9¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.2K
$876.69
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
3258 shares @ 87.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$252.41
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
4713 shares @ 35.3¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$1.3K
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
4776 shares @ 49.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.1K
$-213.74
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1845 shares @ 37.7¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$857.92
$162.58
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
900 shares @ 70.3¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$688.50
$55.50
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
840 shares @ 38.3¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$398.87
$77.13
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
402 shares @ 89.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$388.54
$28.54
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?
496 shares @ 56.1¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$351.95
$73.83
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
562 shares @ 42.4¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$334.39
$96.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.36May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5$100.00May 16, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets$22.50May 16, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets$6.16May 16, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5$45.74May 16, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.35May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.35May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$291.23May 13, 15:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$65.60May 12, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$100.00May 12, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$100.00May 12, 04:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$50.75May 11, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$38.71May 11, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?$190.00May 11, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers$199.99May 11, 04:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.35May 11, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $91.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 03:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".