Noted-Ornament
0x580108d50c01d4f73c3d6559f7036ffbaf61a4af
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-143.6K
Realised
$-4.0K
Win rate
28%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
30000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
30000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
30000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
30000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
30000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
30000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
30000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
30000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
30000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
30000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$7.43Jan 31, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$50.00Jan 31, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)$50.00Jan 31, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$100.00Jan 31, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$48.49Jan 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$3.16Jan 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$9.60Jan 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$2.89Jan 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$8.35Jan 12, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$16.00Jan 12, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$45.39Jan 12, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$1.61Jan 12, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$6.45Jan 12, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)$47.50Jan 11, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$99.98Jan 11, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?$100.00Jan 11, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$100.00Jan 6, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$732.21Jan 6, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$342.38Dec 30, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$2.7KDec 30, 15:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $457.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 16:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".