Favorable-Anguish
0x580ca22b913344735de688f7e271cc21d72c6d83
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$10.75
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$1.91
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$7.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.25
$-0.75
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
50000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-134.90
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
1010 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-494.82
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
800 shares @ 69.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-555.40
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
550 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-165.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
547 shares @ 80.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-441.18
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
372 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-342.54
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
364 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-22.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$13.00Apr 18, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$11.22Apr 18, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$15.00Apr 12, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$90.00Apr 12, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$60.00Apr 12, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$278.06Apr 12, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$142.49Apr 12, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$19.40Apr 12, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.15Apr 12, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$13.00Apr 12, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$24.04Apr 12, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$4.83Apr 12, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$0.00Apr 12, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$1.72Apr 10, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$5.10Apr 10, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$1.94Apr 10, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.61Apr 10, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$41.04Apr 10, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$27.36Apr 10, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$25.38Apr 10, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $31.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 20:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".