Twin-Commonsense
0x583062c11b640c4baa6505063412abe735ee757f
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$60.73
Total PnL
$-682.32
Realised
$10.31
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 19.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.78
$-21.02
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
1552 shares @ 7.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.95
$-98.90
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
344 shares @ 14.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.00
$-37.12
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
3158 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-169.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
1563 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
1177 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
1087 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
624 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
600 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.96
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
565 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$120.00Mar 23, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?$1.67Mar 22, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?$31.81Mar 22, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?$5.12Mar 22, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?$2.66Mar 22, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?$4.21Mar 22, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?$4.33Mar 22, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$48.12Mar 16, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$50.00Mar 16, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$24.48Mar 9, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$61.63Mar 9, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$9.00Mar 1, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$25.00Mar 1, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)$200.00Mar 1, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)$30.00Mar 1, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$25.00Mar 1, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)$50.00Mar 1, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$40.00Feb 28, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$20.00Feb 28, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $20.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 02:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".