Impish-Vision
0x5838192d931f91d2e56893c634ad8861a49c367c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$296.17
Realised
$99.03
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
175 shares @ 81.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$160.13
$18.27
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
699 shares @ 26.7¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$157.23
$-29.17
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
660 shares @ 11.2¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$120.45
$46.70
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
206 shares @ 17.0¢·now 55.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$114.25
$79.25
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
746 shares @ 9.9¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$103.68
$29.76
- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5842 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$73.02
$14.24
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$63.75
$12.75
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
92 shares @ 38.3¢·now 51.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$47.50
$12.10
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
50 shares @ 87.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$39.25
$-4.25
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
145 shares @ 19.6¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$36.87
$8.43
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$0.55May 18, 01:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$10.81May 17, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$10.81May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$3.99May 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$3.99May 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$2.77May 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$10.02May 17, 04:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?$9.18May 16, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$6.28May 16, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$0.68May 16, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$0.38May 16, 06:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.70May 15, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.61May 15, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.88May 15, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$30.30May 15, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce new sanctions on China?$10.01May 15, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$2.07May 15, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $9.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".